Category: Politics

Subprime Thinking

home mtge“It is the private trading of complex instruments that lurk in the financial shadows that worries regulators and Wall Street and that [has] created stresses in the broader economy. Economic downturns and panics have occurred before, of course. Few, however, have posed such a serious threat to the entire financial system that regulators have responded as if they were confronting a potential epidemic.”

New York Times, What Created This Monster? by Nelson D. Schwartz and Julie Creswell, March 23, 2008

What began as a collapse in subprime mortgage-based securities (the result of higher interest rates…leading to programmed, but unplanned-for increases in adjustable-rate mortgage payments…leading to increased loan defaults…leading to plummeting investor confidence…leading to…) has now become a full-fledged credit contraction.

The negatives of this contraction affect both the meek and the mighty. Continue reading “Subprime Thinking”

After Fidel

Administration after administration has perceived Cuba as an irritant inside our hemispheric shell and coated it with layer after layer of economic and political nacre, which unlike Fidel 1959mother-of-pearl, has not created value. In fact, U.S. policy has rendered Cuba nearly irrelevant.

Fidel, of course, has been the focus of our sedimentary relationship, one that has hardened into clay, unmoving through ten U.S. presidencies. But with the announcement that Castro is stepping down after nearly 50 years, turning stewardship over to his brother Raul, the U.S. has an opportunity. Will the next president step out of the clay and back into the mud where things are sticky, sloppy, murky, but once again movable? Continue reading “After Fidel”

Liberator of Bulgaria

Balkan map What actually happens is not always in the history books.

I grew up in California in the 50’s, graduating from high school in 1961, only 16 years after World War II ended. So how was it possible that in all my classes there was not one mention of the internment of Americans of Japanese descent?

Some of these forgotten or overlooked episodes eventually do get remembered. Some never do because of politics, prejudice, embarrassment, and in the case of Bulgarian independence, lack of interest. Americans, provincials we are in the main, simply do not care much about Bulgaria…or even know where it is (see above, Bulgaria in green).

The recent declaration of independence by Kosovo got me thinking about the Balkans and how the roads of conquest and domination have passed through southeastern Europe for centuries. Continue reading “Liberator of Bulgaria”

Does a Curveball Break Left or Right?

MLB logoRoger Clemens testifies before Congress, and the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform grills him about use of steroids and human growth hormone. He denies everything.mlb

This tabloid shocker is getting far more press than real disasters in Darfur or the Iraq situation (can’t call it a war, because only Congress can declare war…and it hasn’t). This is audience-grabbing, pop culture drama, but in the long view, who really cares if this particular pitcher juiced his body?

One aspect of the hearings, however, is very important: the surprising and unexpected partisanship. Why did the Democrats on the Committee uniformly ask Clemens questions that assumed his guilt, while the Republicans’ queries clearly indicated their belief that Clemens’ accuser Brian McNamee was the liar? Could it be that Major League Baseball has inherently progressive and conservative sides? Is it left field vs. right field?

Conspiracy windup: Bush was once part owner of the Texas Rangers. Roger Clemens is well known to be a friend of the Bush family.

Conspiracy pitch: Clemens will be found guilty, and Bush will pardon him. And if this Global War on Baseball looks like it’s going to drag out past Inauguration ’09, look for a pre-pardon like Ford gave Nixon.

Such goofy partisanship is one of the flaws of our two-potty system: you march with the party (no matter how silly you look) or forget about getting any support for your pet projects.